Notable bullish sentiment has emerged for Vale ( VALE ,   Financial ) as option trading activity revealed significant movement, with a total of 10,853 call options exchanged—twice the expected volume. This surge in activity has led to an increase in implied volatility, which rose by nearly two points, reaching 29.62%. The most actively traded options are the January 2026 $10 calls and the December 2025 $12 calls, collectively accounting for approximately 6,400 contracts. The Put/Call Ratio stands at a low 0.10, further highlighting the positive investor outlook for the stock. Market participants eagerly await the company's next earnings report, expected on July 31st, looking for further insights into Vale's performance and potential growth. Wall Street Analysts Forecast Based on the one-year price targets offered by 20 analysts, the average target price for Vale SA ( VALE ,  Financial ) is $12.36 with a high estimate of $16.50 and a low estimate of $9.00. The average ta...

  Double-Digit Dividend Yield: Why Vale Stands Out Vale's valuation is attractive, trading at a P/E of ~4.2x for 2025, with an EPS forecast implying a 24% earnings yield and a double-digit dividend yield. Despite long-term risks in iron ore, Vale's efficiency and growth in energy transition metals like copper and nickel offer promising diversification and margin improvement. Brazil's economic and legal challenges justify Vale's discount compared to peers, but the potential for high yields makes it appealing for risk-tolerant investors. Vale is a resilient, dollarized company with attractive dividends, offering de-correlation from US equities and benefiting from commodity cycle turns.

 

  VALE BUSINESS RESULTS • Iron ore shipments increased by 5.4 Mt (+7%) y/y and 16.0 Mt (25%) q/q, driven by record production for a second quarter since 2018, as well as by inventory sales. • The strong shipment performance led to a Proforma EBITDA of US$ 4.0 billion. Year-on-year, Proforma EBITDA was slightly lower (-6%), mainly due to higher freight costs and concentration of maintenance activities to maximize performance in the 2H24. Proforma EBITDA increased 15% sequentially. • Iron ore fines C1 cash cost ex-3rd party purchases was 6% higher q/q, reaching US$ 24.9/t, mainly due to a seasonal inventory turnover impact and concentration of maintenance activities. These effects were partially offset by the positive impact of higher production volumes and the BRL depreciation. We remain highly confident in achieving our C1 cost guidance of US$ 21.5-23.0/t in 2024, especially as lower-cost volumes from the Northern System ramp-up in the 2H, while the heavier maintenance activities d...

  GENERAL MOTORS (GM) IS PUTTING UP $625 MILLION TO GREEN-LIGHT LITHIUM AMERICAS General Motors (GM) is putting up $625 million to green-light Lithium Americas' (LAC) Thacker Pass project in Nevada, which has the largest-known deposit of the key battery metal in the U.S. The terms of the investment, which has GM investing directly in the mine rather than acquiring more shares, sent LAC stock jumping in early Wednesday stock market action. GM will acquire a 38% ownership stake in the Thacker Pass mine for $430 million in cash and an additional $195 million interest-free credit facility. Lithium Americas said in a news release that its agreement with GM will provide the collateral to unlock a $2.3 billion loan from the Department of Energy announced earlier this year. The tricks to stop the natural rise in the price of lithium are very interesting. The lack of publication and opacity of data is extremely important. Who is behind these cloudy obscurantist actions? Obviously an...

  THINK AGAIN WHAT WILL  HAPPEN WITH LITHIUM DEMAND  SOON? EXPLOSIVE China has shaken up the car market after developing a revolutionary battery that can charge in just 10 minutes and power a vehicle for hundreds of miles before it needs to be plugged in. Remarkable advances in battery chemistry A report from the International Energy Agency ( IEA ) has praised the  “remarkable” developments in battery chemistry  that have enabled China to make significant strides in creating new battery technologies with much greater energy capacity than existing ones. According to the IEA, these electric vehicle (EV) batteries can travel up to 400 kilometers on a single charge. However, newer versions have exceeded this,  reaching a range of 600 kilometers . Concerns over China’s supply chain dominance Despite these advancements,  the IEA has raised concerns  over China’s growing dominance in the supply of essential materials for battery production.  The wor...